|
Construction Market Will Continue to Weaken in 2008, According
to McGraw-Hill Construction Outlook
Expected 2% Decline Will
Follow 8% Drop in 2007 as Credit Crunch Fallout Continues
NEW YORK, Oct. 25, 2007
/PRNewswire/ -- McGraw-Hill Construction, part of The
McGraw-Hill Companies (NYSE:MHP)
, today released its 2008 Construction Outlook, which
forecasts a drop in overall U.S. construction spending for
next year, fueled by tighter lending conditions and weaker job
growth. Against this backdrop, the level of construction
starts is expected to decline 2%, to $614 billion, following
an 8% decline predicted for 2007.
"The credit crunch that
emerged at mid-2007 continues to be a major concern for
construction and the overall economy," said Robert A. Murray,
Vice President, Economic Affairs, McGraw-Hill Construction.
"As a result, we're now predicting downturns in the previously
resilient multifamily and commercial segments, as well as
continued weakness in single-family home construction."
There are some positives for
the market in 2008, Mr. Murray noted. Transportation projects
should continue to see moderate growth amid a renewed emphasis
on infrastructure maintenance and upgrades, particularly in
the aftermath of the I-35W bridge collapse in Minneapolis.
Financing from public sources will stay generally supportive,
and the growth of public-private partnerships also offers the
potential for greater funding. Finally, growth in "green"
construction practices means that the demand for sustainable
building design and materials will continue to rise.
Highlights of the 2008 Construction Outlook include:
-- Single-family housing will weaken further, given the large inventory of
unsold homes and diminished loan availability to homebuyers. A 3% drop
in dollar volume is expected, corresponding to another 6% decline in
the number of units.
-- Multifamily housing will slide 8% in dollars and 11% in units,
following steeper declines in 2007. Condominium development is being
dampened by greater scrutiny from lenders as well as reduced homebuyer
demand.
-- Commercial buildings will slip 6% in dollar volume and 11% in square
feet. Tighter lending standards and the slower absorption of space
will contribute to a measured downturn for stores, warehouses, offices,
and hotels.
-- Institutional buildings will rise 4% in dollar volume, while square
footage edges up 1%. School construction is expected to strengthen
again after its 2007 pause, and transportation terminals are also
expected to grow. The other institutional structure types, including
healthcare facilities, will see a modest loss of momentum.
-- Manufacturing buildings will retreat 11% in dollar volume, after a 40%
surge in 2007 that featured the start of several unusually costly
projects plus a large number of ethanol plants. Square footage for
manufacturing buildings in 2008 is expected to advance 5%.
-- Public works construction will move up 3%, following the 5% gain
in 2007. Highways and bridges are likely to receive greater funding
when fiscal 2008 appropriations are approved. The environmental
project types should be up slightly next year, but site work connected
to single family development will settle back.
-- Electric utilities will see another modest decline in percentage terms,
but essentially this project type is holding at the enhanced level
achieved in 2006.
The 2008 Construction Outlook
was presented at the McGraw-Hill Construction Outlook
Executive Conference in Washington, DC, which brought together
top management from all parts of the construction industry
including firms involved in building product manufacturing,
architecture and design, contracting, engineering, industry
associations and other industry professionals. The
Construction Outlook is a mainstay of business planning for
construction and manufacturing industry executives.
The 2008 Construction Outlook
is available for purchase at
http://www.construction.com/Outlook2008/.
About McGraw-Hill
Construction:
McGraw-Hill Construction,
part of The McGraw-Hill Companies (NYSE:MHP)
, connects people, projects and products across the design and
construction industry. Backed by the power of Dodge, Sweets (http://www.sweets.com/),
Engineering News-Record (http://www.enr.com/),
Architectural Record (http://www.architecturalrecord.com/),
GreenSource (http://www.greensourcemag.com/),
and Regional Publications, the company provides information,
intelligence, tools, applications and resources to help
customers grow their business. McGraw-Hill Construction serves
more than one million customers within the $4.6 trillion
global construction community. For more information, visit
http://www.construction.com/.
About The McGraw-Hill
Companies
Founded in 1888, The
McGraw-Hill Companies is a leading global information services
provider meeting worldwide needs in the financial services,
education and business information markets through leading
brands such as Standard & Poor's, McGraw-Hill Education,
BusinessWeek and J.D. Power and Associates. The Corporation
has more than 280 offices in 40 countries. Sales in 2006 were
$6.3 billion. Additional information is available at
http://www.mcgraw-hill.com/.
Source: McGraw-Hill Construction
CONTACT: Kathy Malangone,
McGraw-Hill Construction,
+1-917-680-7122,
kathy_malangone@mcgraw-hill.com
Web site:
http://www.construction.com/
http://www.construction.com/Outlook2008
|